Scouting Report
Austin Watson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 46.0% vs Jost 40.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 60.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 57.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 59.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Watson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Watson
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Watson
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (182)
41.0% (2,014)
+5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
34.2% (73)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (47)
35.3% (255)
+3.0%
On even strength, Watson has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Watson shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Watson
Jost
Home
44.2% (113)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
44.3% (122)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Watson
Jost
P1
40.5%
38.5%
P2
46.2%
41.2%
P3
46.6%
40.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |