Auston Matthews vs Brandon Dubinsky
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubinsky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Dubinsky 51.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.4%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 89.0%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 68.0%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Matthews
Dubinsky
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Matthews
Dubinsky
Last 8: Matthews 6-2 Dubinsky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
0
Matthews
Dubinsky
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
0
1
Matthews
Dubinsky
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
0
1
Matthews
Dubinsky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dubinsky
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
52.0% (1,224)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
66.7% (63)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
45.3% (201)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubinsky shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dubinsky
Home
48.4% (562)
55.1% (732)
Away
45.3% (570)
48.5% (756)
By Period
Matthews
Dubinsky
P1
51.3%
51.6%
P2
44.5%
51.6%
P3
44.6%
52.3%
OT
55.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |