Auston Matthews vs Carter Rowney
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Rowney 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.0%
Defensive zone
Rowney 55.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Matthews
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Matthews
Rowney
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Rowney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
7
Matthews
Rowney
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
4
Matthews
Rowney
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
49.4% (924)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
40.0% (5)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
48.6% (208)
+1.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rowney
Home
56.3% (5,065)
50.4% (577)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.9% (560)
By Period
Matthews
Rowney
P1
55.5%
50.1%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
52.8%
49.3%
OT
56.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |