Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Rowney 48.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.1%
Defensive zone
Rowney 67.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.2%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Matthews
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Rowney
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Rowney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
2
Matthews
Rowney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Rowney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
48.0% (177)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
47.6% (21)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Matthews is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Matthews shoots left. Rowney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rowney
Home
48.4% (562)
46.2% (104)
Away
45.3% (570)
50.0% (94)
By Period
Matthews
Rowney
P1
51.3%
46.4%
P2
44.5%
46.5%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |