Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Rowney 49.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 50.3%
Defensive zone
Rowney 63.4%
Neutral zone
Rowney 61.3%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Matthews
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Rowney
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Rowney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
2
Matthews
Rowney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
0
1
Matthews
Rowney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
49.7% (298)
+2.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
66.7% (3)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.7% (46)
-8.2%
On power play, Rowney has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Matthews is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Matthews shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rowney
Home
54.3% (420)
51.0% (143)
Away
50.3% (491)
48.0% (204)
By Period
Matthews
Rowney
P1
54.2%
49.6%
P2
54.3%
47.7%
P3
47.8%
50.9%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |