Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Malgin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Malgin 43.7% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 66.8%
Defensive zone
Malgin 50.9%
Neutral zone
Malgin 62.1%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Matthews
Malgin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Malgin
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Malgin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
0
1
Matthews
Malgin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Malgin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malgin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
39.1% (151)
+16.0%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
57.1% (7)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malgin shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. Malgin is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malgin
Home
57.0% (440)
41.1% (90)
Away
53.1% (480)
38.4% (73)
By Period
Matthews
Malgin
P1
54.0%
42.6%
P2
55.1%
32.0%
P3
56.4%
42.1%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |