Auston Matthews vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.7% vs Karlsson 44.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 94.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 91.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Matthews
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Karlsson
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (9,165)
42.2% (225)
+11.6%
Power Play
55.5% (528)
0.0% (1)
+55.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (466)
50.0% (2)
-0.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,654).
Matthews shoots left. Karlsson is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Matthews
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (5,020)
43.0% (135)
Away
51.2% (5,139)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Matthews
Karlsson
P1
55.2%
30.6%
P2
53.3%
54.0%
P3
52.6%
39.0%
OT
56.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.7%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |