Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs McClement 48.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 79.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Matthews
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
McClement
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
McClement
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
48.6% (420)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
72.7% (11)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
43.6% (94)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. McClement is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Matthews
McClement
Home
48.4% (562)
52.5% (244)
Away
45.3% (570)
44.5% (281)
By Period
Matthews
McClement
P1
51.3%
52.3%
P2
44.5%
46.4%
P3
44.6%
46.6%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jay McClement |