Auston Matthews vs Jonathan Toews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Toews 60.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 56.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 67.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Matthews
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Matthews
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Matthews
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Matthews
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
62.5% (696)
-2.7%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
59.6% (141)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
46.9% (32)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Matthews
Toews
Home
60.0% (520)
60.9% (435)
Away
59.3% (452)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Matthews
Toews
P1
60.2%
59.8%
P2
58.2%
65.7%
P3
60.4%
58.8%
OT
70.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |