Auston Matthews vs Luke Glendening
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Glendening 51.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 92.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Matthews
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Glendening
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Matthews
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.5% (404)
+6.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
100.0% (4)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
46.8% (141)
+9.5%
On power play, Glendening has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Matthews
Glendening
Home
60.0% (520)
46.9% (241)
Away
59.3% (452)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Matthews
Glendening
P1
60.2%
50.6%
P2
58.2%
51.8%
P3
60.4%
52.9%
OT
70.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |