Auston Matthews vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Scheifele 46.9% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 72.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 97.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Matthews
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Matthews
Scheifele
Last 9: Matthews 7-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
46.2% (1,016)
+13.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
48.7% (197)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
48.3% (60)
+8.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Scheifele is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Matthews
Scheifele
Home
60.0% (520)
46.0% (645)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.3% (628)
By Period
Matthews
Scheifele
P1
60.2%
51.7%
P2
58.2%
44.7%
P3
60.4%
43.7%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Scheifele
42.0%▼
47.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |