Auston Matthews vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 95.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 88.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 90.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Matthews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Matthews
Zibanejad
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Zibanejad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
2
Matthews
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.4% (770)
+6.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
46.2% (39)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.7% (141)
+11.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zibanejad
Home
60.0% (520)
49.0% (429)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Matthews
Zibanejad
P1
60.2%
53.0%
P2
58.2%
51.1%
P3
60.4%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |