Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Ribeiro 42.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 62.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 77.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 76.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Matthews
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Ribeiro
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
41.1% (375)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
41.8% (67)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
50.0% (2)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Ribeiro is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Matthews
Ribeiro
Home
48.4% (562)
38.7% (230)
Away
45.3% (570)
43.9% (214)
By Period
Matthews
Ribeiro
P1
51.3%
41.6%
P2
44.5%
45.5%
P3
44.6%
36.9%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |