Auston Matthews vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Matthews
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
30
(54 meetings)
24
30
Matthews
Stastny
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
9
Matthews
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
10
Matthews
Stastny
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
11
Matthews
Stastny
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (9,165)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.5% (528)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (466)
52.9% (1,119)
-3.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Matthews is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,505).
Matthews shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stastny
Home
56.3% (5,020)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.2% (5,139)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Matthews
Stastny
P1
55.2%
56.3%
P2
53.3%
55.4%
P3
52.6%
53.5%
OT
56.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |