Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 74.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 62.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Matthews
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Matthews
Nash
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
2
Matthews
Nash
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
8
Matthews
Nash
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.7% (4,621)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.0% (249)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
44.9% (550)
+4.9%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nash
Home
56.3% (5,065)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Matthews
Nash
P1
55.5%
49.0%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
52.8%
48.0%
OT
56.6%
68.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |