Auston Matthews vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.8% vs 58.2%). Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Frederic 54.8% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Frederic 51.4%
Defensive zone
Frederic 51.2%
Neutral zone
Frederic 52.1%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Matthews
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
58.0% (138)
+0.6%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
66.7% (3)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Frederic is 62.8% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Matthews
Frederic
Home
60.0% (475)
58.1% (74)
Away
57.2% (346)
58.2% (67)
By Period
Matthews
Frederic
P1
58.3%
57.1%
P2
58.4%
51.3%
P3
59.4%
64.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Frederic
62.0%▲
54.0%
58.2%