Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs McMichael 43.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 58.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 71.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Goodrow
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Goodrow
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
42.4% (399)
-3.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
49.1% (55)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
40.6% (96)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McMichael
Home
36.0% (25)
43.0% (298)
Away
54.5% (11)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Goodrow
McMichael
P1
46.2%
46.5%
P2
30.8%
41.1%
P3
50.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
22.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |