Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.1% vs Kempe 41.0% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 91.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 91.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 81.6%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Goodrow
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Goodrow
Kempe
Last 9: Goodrow 7-2 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
5
2
Goodrow
Kempe
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (450)
38.5% (312)
+16.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
33.3% (3)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (94)
35.7% (14)
+13.2%
On power play, Goodrow has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Goodrow is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Goodrow shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kempe
Home
58.3% (252)
38.8% (160)
Away
49.8% (299)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Goodrow
Kempe
P1
51.7%
35.9%
P2
57.4%
39.0%
P3
52.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
53.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |