Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Barzal 41.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 55.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Goodrow
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (23)
40.4% (456)
-5.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
34.2% (38)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On even strength, Barzal has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Goodrow is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Goodrow shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Barzal
Home
34.8% (23)
38.0% (242)
Away
33.3% (6)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Goodrow
Barzal
P1
36.4%
46.6%
P2
25.0%
35.4%
P3
50.0%
38.0%
Final 5 min
12.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
34.5%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%