Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 67.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Goodrow
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goodrow
Gagner
Last 5: Goodrow 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Goodrow
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (165)
45.4% (119)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (40)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (152)
42.9% (21)
+3.8%
On even strength, Goodrow has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Goodrow is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Goodrow shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Gagner
Home
48.3% (149)
49.0% (104)
Away
51.4% (175)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Goodrow
Gagner
P1
52.6%
44.4%
P2
43.2%
44.6%
P3
53.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| May 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |