Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 62.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 64.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 61.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Goodrow
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Goodrow
Nosek
Last 10: Goodrow 1-9 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Goodrow
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
4
Goodrow
Nosek
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
9
Goodrow
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
54.9% (2,674)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
44.7% (47)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
47.4% (424)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nosek
Home
51.9% (2,109)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Goodrow
Nosek
P1
50.5%
52.3%
P2
49.2%
54.0%
P3
51.3%
54.6%
OT
35.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |