Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Nosek 50.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 64.0%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Goodrow
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Goodrow
Nosek
Last 8: Goodrow 5-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
51.2% (377)
+1.1%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
50.0% (10)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
41.3% (46)
+3.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Goodrow is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Goodrow shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nosek
Home
52.9% (361)
48.3% (240)
Away
46.1% (438)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Goodrow
Nosek
P1
48.4%
48.4%
P2
48.1%
51.4%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |