Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.1% vs Smith 49.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 83.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 71.2%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Goodrow
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Goodrow
Smith
Last 5: Goodrow 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (450)
50.9% (666)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
70.0% (10)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (94)
39.6% (144)
+9.3%
On power play, Smith has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goodrow is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Goodrow shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Smith
Home
58.3% (252)
50.9% (405)
Away
49.8% (299)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Goodrow
Smith
P1
51.7%
47.1%
P2
57.4%
49.6%
P3
52.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
53.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |