Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Hayton 53.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 74.0%
Defensive zone
Newhook 72.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 73.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Newhook
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Newhook
Hayton
Last 6: Newhook 1-5 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
1
Newhook
Hayton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Hayton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
3
Newhook
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
52.6% (817)
-9.9%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
63.3% (139)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.1% (64)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hayton
Home
39.6% (278)
53.9% (516)
Away
46.1% (280)
54.4% (504)
By Period
Newhook
Hayton
P1
37.3%
55.1%
P2
42.9%
55.0%
P3
47.3%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |