Barrett Hayton vs Christian Dvorak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.2%). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Dvorak 52.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Hayton
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
53.7% (762)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
54.0% (124)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.6% (82)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dvorak
Home
56.9% (432)
53.6% (461)
Away
47.4% (344)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Hayton
Dvorak
P1
53.1%
54.1%
P2
50.3%
52.9%
P3
55.4%
53.8%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |