Barrett Hayton vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs McMichael 43.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 56.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 53.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Hayton
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Hayton
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
42.4% (399)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
49.1% (55)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
40.6% (96)
-3.8%
On even strength, Hayton has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Hayton
McMichael
Home
56.9% (432)
43.0% (298)
Away
47.4% (344)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Hayton
McMichael
P1
53.1%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
41.1%
P3
55.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |