Barrett Hayton vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Ek 48.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 60.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 60.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Hayton
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Ek
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
47.2% (815)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
53.8% (266)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.8% (180)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Hayton
Ek
Home
56.9% (432)
49.9% (693)
Away
47.4% (344)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Hayton
Ek
P1
53.1%
46.2%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
55.4%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |