Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.9%). Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Cates 45.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 55.0%
Defensive zone
Kindel 57.4%
Neutral zone
Kindel 52.1%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kindel
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kindel
Cates
Last 9: Kindel 2-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Kindel
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
4
Kindel
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Kindel
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
45.4% (712)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
42.2% (102)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
44.7% (47)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Kindel
Cates
Home
46.1% (267)
46.3% (423)
Away
42.9% (273)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Kindel
Cates
P1
41.5%
46.3%
P2
45.8%
47.1%
P3
42.6%
42.1%
OT
91.7%
18.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |