Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Meyers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Meyers wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meyers 54.1% vs Kastelic 59.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 56.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Meyers
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Meyers
Kastelic
Last 5: Meyers 3-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Meyers
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meyers
3
1
Meyers
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meyers
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (300)
61.9% (402)
-6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
83.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
57.1% (156)
-8.6%
On power play, Meyers has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Meyers is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Meyers shoots left. Kastelic is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Meyers
Kastelic
Home
57.7% (142)
61.5% (260)
Away
53.6% (194)
60.2% (304)
By Period
Meyers
Kastelic
P1
61.8%
60.4%
P2
47.5%
59.5%
P3
57.7%
63.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
68.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meyers
66.0%▲
59.5%
55.4%
Kastelic
72.0%▲
64.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |