Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Horvat 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.3%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Smith
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Smith
Horvat
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
7
Smith
Horvat
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
3
Smith
Horvat
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
2
Smith
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
53.9% (12,606)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
61.0% (2,699)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
47.1% (1,494)
-1.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Home / Away
Smith
Horvat
Home
53.8% (860)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
49.8% (805)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Smith
Horvat
P1
52.1%
54.1%
P2
50.2%
54.4%
P3
53.3%
55.0%
OT
62.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |