Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.4%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Horvat 51.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 74.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 64.9%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Smith
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Smith
Horvat
Last 9: Smith 3-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
3
Smith
Horvat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Smith
Horvat
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
52.1% (743)
+2.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
51.9% (27)
-37.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
44.9% (78)
+1.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Horvat is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Smith
Horvat
Home
54.4% (274)
53.1% (420)
Away
50.3% (320)
49.8% (428)
By Period
Smith
Horvat
P1
50.0%
52.4%
P2
53.4%
49.3%
P3
53.2%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |