Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Soderberg 47.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 75.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 60.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Smith
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Smith
Soderberg
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
1
Smith
Soderberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Soderberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
5
Smith
Soderberg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
48.3% (4,444)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
53.1% (424)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
40.8% (601)
+4.7%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Smith
Soderberg
Home
53.8% (860)
50.2% (2,703)
Away
49.8% (805)
45.6% (2,766)
By Period
Smith
Soderberg
P1
52.1%
47.4%
P2
50.2%
48.2%
P3
53.3%
48.1%
OT
62.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |