Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Soderberg 51.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 64.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.4%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Smith
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smith
Soderberg
Last 5: Smith 2-3 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Soderberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
3
Smith
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
53.0% (634)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (28)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
37.5% (40)
+7.0%
On power play, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Soderberg is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Smith
Soderberg
Home
54.0% (274)
58.6% (324)
Away
47.9% (194)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Smith
Soderberg
P1
51.7%
49.6%
P2
51.7%
56.7%
P3
51.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
59.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Ben Smith |