Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Wilson 46.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 83.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 90.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Smith
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Smith
Wilson
Last 7: Smith 4-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
2
Smith
Wilson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Wilson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Wilson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
45.0% (845)
+8.7%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
50.4% (244)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
33.3% (6)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Wilson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Smith
Wilson
Home
53.8% (860)
46.1% (531)
Away
49.8% (805)
46.1% (564)
By Period
Smith
Wilson
P1
52.1%
46.6%
P2
50.2%
43.2%
P3
53.3%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |