Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 62.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.6% vs Lazar 45.0% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 57.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 86.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Smith
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Lazar
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (127)
44.3% (341)
+8.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.2% (26)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
29.4% (17)
+26.7%
On power play, Smith has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Smith is 62.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Smith shoots right. Lazar is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Smith
Lazar
Home
56.2% (121)
45.0% (202)
Away
50.0% (64)
42.3% (182)
By Period
Smith
Lazar
P1
55.7%
45.5%
P2
46.3%
43.0%
P3
57.4%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.1%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ben Smith |