Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Desharnais 50.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 77.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.9%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Smith
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Smith
Desharnais
Last 6: Smith 3-3 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
3
Smith
Desharnais
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Desharnais
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
52.3% (304)
+2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.7% (27)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
0.0% (1)
+44.5%
On power play, Smith has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Desharnais is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Smith
Desharnais
Home
54.0% (274)
52.3% (195)
Away
47.9% (194)
49.6% (137)
By Period
Smith
Desharnais
P1
51.7%
56.2%
P2
51.7%
46.1%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |