Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Jeffrey 47.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 71.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 83.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Smith
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Jeffrey
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
2
Smith
Jeffrey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Jeffrey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Jeffrey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
47.5% (754)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
37.2% (43)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
55.6% (36)
-10.1%
On power play, Smith has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Smith
Jeffrey
Home
53.8% (860)
49.0% (390)
Away
49.8% (805)
46.4% (455)
By Period
Smith
Jeffrey
P1
52.1%
46.4%
P2
50.2%
48.1%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Ben Smith |