Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Madden 50.6% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Madden 62.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.4%
Neutral zone
Madden 51.1%
Result
John Madden favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Smith
Madden
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.2% (1,083)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
51.5% (33)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
47.6% (164)
-2.1%
On power play, Smith has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Smith
Madden
Home
53.8% (860)
52.7% (678)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Smith
Madden
P1
52.1%
51.5%
P2
50.2%
52.5%
P3
53.3%
47.6%
OT
62.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%