Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 89.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Smith
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Smith
Tavares
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
11
Smith
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
0
Smith
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
54.0% (16,108)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
56.5% (4,283)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
50.6% (620)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Smith
Tavares
Home
53.8% (860)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.8% (805)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Smith
Tavares
P1
52.1%
55.0%
P2
50.2%
54.1%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |