Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 67.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Smith
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Smith
Chipchura
Last 8: Smith 6-2 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Chipchura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
2
Smith
Chipchura
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.9% (2,100)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
45.7% (46)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
45.0% (171)
+0.5%
On power play, Smith has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Smith
Chipchura
Home
53.8% (860)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
49.8% (805)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Smith
Chipchura
P1
52.1%
51.1%
P2
50.2%
50.3%
P3
53.3%
48.9%
OT
62.5%
78.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |