Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.6%). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Chipchura 51.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 63.2%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 50.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.7%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Smith
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Chipchura
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Chipchura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smith
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
52.8% (790)
+1.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
35.3% (17)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
45.9% (109)
+0.5%
On power play, Chipchura has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Smith
Chipchura
Home
54.4% (274)
52.5% (465)
Away
50.3% (320)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Smith
Chipchura
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
53.4%
50.9%
P3
53.2%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ben Smith |