Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Draisaitl 49.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Smith
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
Draisaitl
Last 9: Smith 2-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
7
Smith
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
49.2% (762)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.8% (164)
+48.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
34.8% (46)
+9.7%
On power play, Smith has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Smith
Draisaitl
Home
54.0% (274)
54.3% (475)
Away
47.9% (194)
43.9% (497)
By Period
Smith
Draisaitl
P1
51.7%
47.5%
P2
51.7%
49.7%
P3
51.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |