Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Granlund 38.9% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 87.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 56.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 70.1%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Smith
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Smith
Granlund
Last 6: Smith 1-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Smith
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Smith
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Smith
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
36.5% (477)
+17.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.0% (20)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
33.3% (27)
+13.1%
On power play, Granlund has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Granlund is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Smith
Granlund
Home
54.4% (274)
41.0% (256)
Away
50.3% (320)
32.8% (268)
By Period
Smith
Granlund
P1
50.0%
41.3%
P2
53.4%
35.9%
P3
53.2%
33.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |