Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Richards 50.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 76.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 75.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Smith
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Smith
Richards
Last 10: Smith 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
5
Smith
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Smith
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.0% (3,722)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
54.6% (445)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
51.4% (502)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Smith
Richards
Home
53.8% (860)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
49.8% (805)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Smith
Richards
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
50.2%
52.3%
P3
53.3%
49.3%
OT
62.5%
58.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |