Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 90.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 67.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Smith
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Smith
Koivu
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
9
Smith
Koivu
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
9
2
Smith
Koivu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
54.0% (9,465)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
58.6% (2,100)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
48.9% (1,688)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Smith
Koivu
Home
53.8% (860)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
49.8% (805)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Smith
Koivu
P1
52.1%
53.5%
P2
50.2%
54.6%
P3
53.3%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |