Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Koivu 54.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 91.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Smith
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Smith
Koivu
Last 10: Smith 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Smith
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
2
Smith
Koivu
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
55.3% (1,268)
-1.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.6% (321)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
51.0% (202)
-4.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Smith
Koivu
Home
54.4% (274)
58.3% (906)
Away
50.3% (320)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Smith
Koivu
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
53.4%
55.6%
P3
53.2%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |