Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Marleau 50.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 76.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 78.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.5%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Smith
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Marleau
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Smith
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Smith
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.3% (2,656)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
55.7% (332)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
50.7% (452)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Marleau is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Smith
Marleau
Home
53.8% (860)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Smith
Marleau
P1
52.1%
52.2%
P2
50.2%
49.5%
P3
53.3%
50.7%
OT
62.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ben Smith |