Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Marleau 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 83.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 52.9%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Smith
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smith
Marleau
Last 5: Smith 2-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Smith
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Smith
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
47.6% (288)
+6.5%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
52.9% (34)
-38.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
47.1% (34)
-0.7%
On power play, Marleau has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Marleau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Smith
Marleau
Home
54.4% (274)
52.8% (125)
Away
50.3% (320)
45.5% (231)
By Period
Smith
Marleau
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
53.4%
50.0%
P3
53.2%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |