Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 84.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 78.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Smith
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Smith
Stastny
Last 10: Smith 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
13
Smith
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
8
1
Smith
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Smith
Stastny
Home
53.8% (860)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.8% (805)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Smith
Stastny
P1
52.1%
56.3%
P2
50.2%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
53.5%
OT
62.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |