Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 60.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Smith
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
49.6% (2,027)
+4.1%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
41.5% (41)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
43.9% (467)
+1.6%
On power play, Smith has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Smith
Carpenter
Home
53.8% (860)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
49.8% (805)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Smith
Carpenter
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
50.2%
47.7%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
62.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%